Thursday, July 04, 2013

The latest paper from Swedish sea-level expert, Nils Axel Morner


SEA LEVEL CHANGES PAST RECORDS AND FUTURE EXPECTATIONS

by Nils-Axel Mörner

ABSTRACT

The history and development of our understanding of sea level changes is reviewed. Sea level research is multi-facetted and calls for integrated studies of a large number of parameters. Well established records indicate a post-LIA (1850–1950) sea level rise of 11 cm. During the same period of time, the Earth’s rate of rotation experienced a slowing down (deceleration) equivalent to a sea level rise of about 10 cm. Sea level changes during the last 40-50 years are subjected to major controversies. The methodology applied and the views claimed by the IPCC are challenged. For the last 40-50 years strong observational facts indicate virtually stable sea level conditions. The Earth’s rate of rotation records a mean acceleration from 1972 to 2012, contradicting all claims of a rapid global sea level rise, and instead suggests stable, to slightly falling, sea levels. Best estimates for future sea level changes up to the year 2100 are in the range of +5 cm ±15 cm.


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT, VOLUME 24 No. 3 & 4 2013

Posted by John J. Ray (M.A.; Ph.D.).


1 comment:

Doom said...

So the error in prediction is greater than the prediction? Are you sure that should be called a science? How about calling these non-producers studies rather than sciences? Kick gender and ethnic studies over to quota shops. Lets just be honest, nyet?

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